In just one month, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) has gone from a double-digit negative year-to-date (YTD) decline to a 14.4% YTD gain as of market close on April 24. Amazon is now outperforming its “Magnificent Seven” peers Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla, plus the Nasdaq Composite, and the S&P 500.
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Even when factoring in Amazon’s stellar 2026 performance, it has still underperformed the S&P 500 over the past five years. But in that period, Amazon has grown its earnings rapidly. In fact, Amazon is now consistently profitable, making it easier to evaluate it on a price-to-earnings (P/E) basis rather than just price-to-sales. It sports a 34 forward P/E ratio, which is reasonable for a high-growth leader in cloud computing infrastructure and online retail.
But Amazon’s growth could be accelerating, which would make the stock look dirt cheap in hindsight — even at an all-time high. Here are two reasons to buy Amazon in May, and one reason to wait.
Image source: Amazon.
Reasons why Amazon is a buy
1. AI investments are paying off
On April 24, Meta Platforms signed an agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to use its Graviton5 central processing units (CPUs) at scale. Meta plans to deploy tens of millions of Graviton cores to address the CPU needs of agentic artificial intelligence by improving processing power and efficiency. Meta could deploy even more chips as it expands its AI capabilities.
The Meta news comes just four days after Anthropic — the maker of Claude large language models — announced a more than $100 billion commitment over 10 years to AWS, including Graviton cores and Trainium chips. Trainium are application specific integrated circuits custom-built for AI workloads.
These deals showcase Amazon’s booming chip business. Graviton processors are built on the AWS Nitro System, which includes specialized hardware and software for networking, storage, and security. Paired with Trainium, Amazon now has a highly integrated architecture built for AI — which is appealing to enterprise customers.
Amazon’s innovations in custom AI chips and supporting infrastructure ensure that it remains a leader in cloud computing by building cutting-edge AI factories and data centers and offering custom chips exclusively to AWS customers.
2. Enterprise and consumer-facing industry leadership
AWS is by far Amazon’s most important segment and the major contributor to its current and future earnings growth. But Amazon is so much more than AWS — it offers domestic and international online retail, advertising, subscription services, and more. These different segments give Amazon multiple levers to pull to unlock growth, no matter the business cycle.
Amazon’s diversification is unique because it is an industry leader in both business-to-business (AWS) and consumer-facing industries (online retail, subscription services, healthcare, and so on). That variety gives virtually every enterprise and consumer an opportunity to be an Amazon customer, from small to multi-billion dollar cloud deals to loyal Amazon Prime subscribers, to seeing Amazon MGM Studios’ Project Hail Mary in theaters.
The pitfalls of aggressive capital allocation
Amazon’s diversification is a major reason why it’s such an attractive long-term investment opportunity. Unlike other major tech companies like Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, Amazon is notorious for not paying dividends and diluting shareholders through stock-based compensation that routinely exceeds stock buybacks. It’s definitely a red flag for balanced investors who value stock buybacks to accelerate earnings growth and generate passive income through dividends. But the strategy is Amazon’s way of betting on itself, and that has generally paid off more than it has backfired.
Amazon’s recent deals with Meta and Anthropic are a testament to its capital-intensive strategy — charting a path toward sustained market leadership for AWS. However, these wins come at a high price, as Amazon’s spending is soaring to stratospheric heights. Amazon now plans to spend $200 billion on capital expenditures in 2026, a more than 150% increase in two years. Amazon isn’t growing operating cash flow as quickly, which will mean it will likely report substantial negative free cash flow in 2026.
Amazon’s growth potential comes with risk
Amazon is the equivalent of a power hitter in baseball. It’s going to swing for the fences and hit a lot of home runs, but it’s also going to strike out a fair share of the time. That approach is how an online book store became the largest online retailer and cloud computing infrastructure company in the world, but it is also why investors can lose patience with Amazon when the strikeouts pile up.
Amazon, along with Tesla, are the most purely growth-focused Magnificent Seven companies, which will likely appeal to risk-tolerant investors. But Amazon is a poor fit for investors looking for consistent cash cows that are more disciplined with their capital allocation.
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Daniel Foelber has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
ContentsReasons why Amazon is a buy1. AI investments are paying off2. Enterprise and consumer-facing industry leadershipThe pitfalls of aggressive capital…
ContentsReasons why Amazon is a buy1. AI investments are paying off2. Enterprise and consumer-facing industry leadershipThe pitfalls of aggressive capital…
ContentsReasons why Amazon is a buy1. AI investments are paying off2. Enterprise and consumer-facing industry leadershipThe pitfalls of aggressive capital…