The Bigger Dividend Stock Amid The Oil Rush

The Bigger Dividend Stock Amid The Oil Rush


Oil and energy company ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX) closed out 2025 with results that reveal two very different oil giants navigating the same crude price headwind. Both raised dividends 4%, both beat Q4 EPS estimates, and both are pressing hard on production growth. The structural differences between the two companies, however, are significant. So, which is a better dividend stock?

  • ExxonMobil (XOM) posted Q4 EPS of $1.71 (beating estimates by 3%) with record 4.7M BOED production and $26.13B full-year free cash flow.

  • Chevron (CVX) delivered Q4 EPS of $1.52 (beating estimates by 5.6%) and record 3,723 MBOED production with $16.60B FCF, as both raised dividends 4% but ExxonMobil’s 3.0x dividend coverage ratio significantly outpaces Chevron’s 1.30x ratio.

  • ExxonMobil’s stronger cash generation and longer 43-year dividend growth streak provide more financial flexibility to sustain payouts in a soft crude environment, while Chevron’s higher 3.46% yield relies on ambitious cost cuts and Hess synergies that require crude prices to remain elevated.

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ExxonMobil posted Q4 EPS of $1.71, beating the $1.66 estimate, while full-year revenue reached $332.24B. The real headline was production. ExxonMobil hit 4.7 million oil-equivalent barrels per day in Q4, its highest output in over 40 years, with the Permian Basin alone delivering a record 1.8 million BOED.

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Chevron’s story runs through its Hess acquisition. Full-year worldwide production hit a record 3,723 MBOED, up 12% year over year, with Hess contributing 261 MBOED in 2025. The Permian crossed its own milestone, reaching 1 million BOE per day, and Kazakhstan’s TCO project ramped to approximately 1 million BOE per day as well.

Business Driver

ExxonMobil (XOM)

Chevron (CVX)

Q4 EPS vs. Estimate

$1.71 vs. $1.66 (beat 3.01%)

$1.52 vs. $1.44 (beat 5.56%)

Full-Year Production

4.7M BOED

3,723 MBOED

Full-Year Free Cash Flow

$26.13B

$16.60B

Quarterly Dividend

$1.03

$1.78

Dividend Growth Streak

43 consecutive years

39 consecutive years

ExxonMobil’s structural cost savings program has accumulated $15.1B since 2019, with a target of $20B by 2030. Its Energy Products segment delivered a sharp sequential recovery, with quarterly earnings rose over 80% to $3.39B on stronger diesel and gasoline crack spreads. The Chemical Products segment posted a $281M loss due to weak industry margins and remains a drag worth watching.


finance.yahoo.com
#Bigger #Dividend #Stock #Oil #Rush

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