Goldman Hikes Oil Forecasts Again as Hormuz Shock Builds

Goldman Hikes Oil Forecasts Again as Hormuz Shock Builds



Goldman Hikes Oil Forecasts Again as Hormuz Shock Builds
Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Global Commodities Research, joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss his team’s latest oil outlook. Struyven and his team upgraded Brent to $90/barrel by the fourth quarter, citing lower Persian Gulf production, and ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption. They now assume a normalization in Gulf exports by the end of June (vs. a prior forecast of mid-May) and see a slower recovery for Gulf production. However, a global recession is not in the team’s base case unless the strait remains mostly closed in a “severely adverse” scenario. Struyven speaks with Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. (Source: Bloomberg)


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