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U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs logged eight straight days of inflows totaling $2.1 billion through April 23—the longest streak since the nine-day October 2025 run that took Bitcoin to its $126,000 all-time high.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said every single rolling period they track is now positive for the first time in months. BlackRock’sIBIT has pulled in $3 billion in one-year flows, putting it in the top 1% of all ETFs.
April 23 alone brought $223.21 million, with IBIT doing roughly 75% of the lifting at $167.49 million. Fidelity’s FBTC posted the one meaningful outflow at $16.93 million.
Bitcoin has climbed from $68,000 to $77,000 over the streak—a 12% move that has coincided almost perfectly with the ETF bid returning. Cumulative ETF net inflows since launch now sit at $58 billion, and total assets hit $102 billion.
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Bitcoin just reclaimed its True Market Mean at $78,100, which tracks the average cost basis of actively transacted supply. This is the first time that level has been reclaimed since mid-January.
The problem is the next level. The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis sits at $80,100, which is the average entry price for anyone who bought in the last 155 days.
A move above it would push more than 54% of recent buyers into profit.
In every prior instance this cycle, that threshold has coincided with local top formation as short-term holders use the rally to break even and exit.
Short-Term Holder Realized Profit has already spiked to $4.4 million per hour, per Glassnode.
The $1.5 million threshold has preceded every local top year-to-date. The current reading is three times that.
Funding on Bitcoin perpetuals is still negative, meaning shorts are paying longs. Saturday’s short squeeze took Bitcoin to $78,000 briefly before the Hormuz reversal pulled it back.
Bitcoin has cleared the 20 EMA at $74,520, 50 EMA at $72,806, and 100 EMA at $75,479—all now sitting below price as a rising support stack.
The Supertrend at $70,847 has been green for two weeks straight.
The one wall that remains is the 200 EMA at $82,566—the last major technical hurdle before Bitcoin can genuinely claim a trend reversal. It’s only $4,300 away from the current price.
Support sits at $75,479 (100 EMA), then $74,017, then $70,847 (Supertrend).
Meanwhile, resistance clusters at $80,000 (psychological), then $82,566 (200 EMA), then $85,000.
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