Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Naomi Watts, “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bissette”
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie (Updated: April 30, 2026): At the moment, this category sits as one of the two most competitive acting races in the entire Emmy landscape.
Cailee Spaeny delivers a career-best turn in the second season of Netflix’s anthology “Beef,” and it could bring the 27-year-old her first major Emmy nod. Whether Oscar winner Yuh-Jung Youn will be standing alongside her is a debate that figures to run the rest of the season.
The bigger logjam is surrounding “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bissette,” which has Grace Gummer, Naomi Watts and Constance Zimmer all in play. Is there room for all three? Emmy history says probably not, but the FX limited series is the kind of prestige period swing that can absorb multiple bids in a category this loaded.
Laurie Metcalf is looking like a potential double-nominee alongside her comedy play in “Big Mistakes,” and she looks like a safe bet for Ryan Murphy’s “Monster: The Ed Gein Story.” She may not be alone from that show, either: Vicky Krieps has garnered some notices for her work in the same series, and Murphy productions have a long history of stacking the acting categories.
With the announcement that the entire cast of HBO Max’s “DTF St. Louis” will submit in supporting, Linda Cardellini becomes a real threat for her first statuette for one of the most talked-about turns of the season. Her co-star Joy Sunday could also factor into the fray.
Don’t sleep on Dakota Fanning, either (whose sister is also in the hunt in lead comedy actress). The two-time nominee is back in the conversation for Peacock’s “All Her Fault,” giving the network a credible play in a category where it has been historically underrepresented.
All official category submissions have yet to be confirmed, and the field could shift before the end of the eligibility cycle.
The Emmy Awards timeline begins with nomination-round voting from June 11-22, with nominations announced on July 8. The final voting runs from Aug. 17-26, leading into the Creative Arts Awards and Governors Gala on Sept. 5–6, culminating with the Emmy Awards ceremony on Sept. 14 on NBC.
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