Polymarket Brings Live Probability Tables to Substack Authors
Polymarket announced that it has entered an exclusive partnership with Substack to integrate real-time prediction market data directly into Substack…
Tag: Probability
UK Inflation Drop Raises Probability of More Cuts: Anderson
Nomura European Economist Josie Anderson says the bigger-than-expected drop in UK inflation could see more BOE policymakers voting for a…
Prediction markets turn probability into the new asset class
Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions…
Bitcoin Has ‘High Probability’ Of Crashing Below $60,000 If It Stays Below This Level, Says Analyst, But The Fall Could Be Even Steeper
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. A renowned cryptocurrency…
Recession Probability In the U.S. is 93% — “Historically Worrying Level”
Summary UBS warns the recession risk in the U.S. has reached 93%. However, instead of a collapse, analysts predict a…
XRP Climbs 4% as Fed Rate Cut Bets Hit 99% Probability
The digital asset rallied toward the $3.00 threshold on explosive volume before consolidating, as traders positioned around upcoming macro catalysts…
The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% On Polymarket After Trump’s Air Strikes on Iran’s Nuclear Facility
The probability of Iran’s leadership blocking the Strait of Hormuz for shipping has increased following the U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s…
Vanguard: High Probability of US Exceptionalism Ending
The transformative impact of AI is still yet to be fully realized, but if it is as positive as forecast,…