China drives global vehicle market up in June – GlobalData

China drives global vehicle market up in June – GlobalData


For June, the Global Light Vehicle (LV) selling rate improved to 93 million units/year. In year-on-year (YoY) terms, the market grew over 2% as sales reached 7.7 million units globally.

Trade tensions began to affect the key markets of the US and Western Europe, while in China, sales remain robust amid favorable market conditions and incentives. In Western Europe, the story is broadly unchanged as consumer confidence remains weak in the face of stagnant economic growth and political uncertainty. In the US, sales were down due to two fewer selling days as well as fewer OEMs offering pricing incentives due to tariffs.

Source: GlobalData
Source: GlobalData

North America

US vehicle sales fell by 4.3% YoY in June to 1.26 million units. There were two fewer selling days than in June 2024, so on a selling-day adjusted basis, sales increased by 3.6% YoY. However, YoY comparisons were somewhat distorted by the CDK cyberattacks in June 2024. The selling rate in June declined to 15.2 million units/year from 15.4 million units/year in May. The end of the month, also being the end of the quarter, saw slightly stronger sales than we expected, but, in general, the month was subdued as OEMs were not offering as many pricing incentives to reduce costs in the face of tariffs.

According to initial estimates, the Canadian Light Vehicle market sold 174k units in June 2025, representing a 3.6% YoY increase. Ford and General Motors, both growing 9.7% YoY, were key drivers of this growth. The Canadian selling rate went up to 1.9 million units/year from 1.6 million/year in May. In Mexico, sales were estimated at 123k units, down -1.5% YoY. The selling rate stood at 1.58 million units/year. The Mexican market is expected to remain under pressure due to limited economic growth, although a better performance is anticipated in 2026.

Europe

The LV selling rate for Western Europe improved to 13.3 million units/year in June, though sales volumes were down nearly 7% as sales totaled 1.26 million units. The Western European LV market, especially the larger markets of France, Germany, and Italy, has struggled amid economic and political headwinds. Consumer confidence remains low as trade tensions between the US and the EU continue to escalate.

In Eastern Europe, the LV selling rate for last month is estimated to be 4.3 million units/year, similar to the previous month. Sales were down 10% YoY. The Russian LV market declined by 29% YoY in June, with the selling rate falling to 1.13 million units/yr (-7.9% MoM). Demand remains weak due to the CBR’s high key rate stalling consumer credit growth and auto financing; however, early signs of stabilization are emerging, aided by resumed output at idled plants and government stimulus through the “First Car” and “Family Car” subsidy programs. A potential interest rate cut may support a modest recovery in H2. The Turkish PV market saw a fourth consecutive month of growth in June 2025 as sales reached 94k units, up 7% YoY as EV incentives, an influx of Chinese models, and high inflation continue to boost sales.


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