Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Emmys Commentary (Updated: May 22, 2025): More to come…
Nomination leaders (studios): HBO Max (58); Netflix (57); Apple TV+ (51)
Nomination leaders (series): “The Bear” (15); “Severance” (14); “The Studio” (13); “Hacks” (12)
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All predicted nominees listed below are in alphabetical order)
Drama Series
Image Credit: Apple TV+ “Andor” (Disney+)
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
“Squid Game” (Netflix)
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)Comedy Series
Image Credit: Russ Martin / FX “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX)
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***
“What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)Limited or Anthology Series
Image Credit: Sarah Shatz/FX “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)Television Movie
Image Credit: Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures “Bridget Jones: Mad About a Boy” (Peacock)
“The Gorge” (Apple TV+)
“Out of My Mind” (Disney+)
“Rebel Ridge” (Netflix) ***
“The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat” (Hulu)Lead Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Marcell Piti/PEACOCK Sterling K. Brown
“Paradise” (Hulu)
Diego Luna
“Andor” (Disney+)
Gary Oldman
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Eddie Redmayne
“The Day of the Jackal” (Peacock)
Adam Scott
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Noah Wyle ***
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)Lead Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ Adam Brody
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Seth Rogen ***
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Jason Segel
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Martin Short
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Jeremy Allen White
“The Bear” (FX)Lead Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix Colin Farrell
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Paul Giamatti
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Stephen Graham ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Brian Tyree Henry
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Cooper Koch
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)Lead Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Disney/Steve Wilkie Kathy Bates ***
“Matlock” (CBS)
Britt Lower
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Melanie Lynskey
“Yellowjackets” (Paramount+)
Elisabeth Moss
“The Handmaid’s Tale” (Hulu)
Bella Ramsey
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Keri Russell
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)Lead Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of SAEED ADYANI/NETFLIX Kristen Bell
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
Quinta Brunson
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Ayo Edebiri
“The Bear” (FX)
Kathryn Hahn
“Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
Jean Smart ***
“Hacks” (HBO Max)Lead Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: via Peacock Cate Blanchett
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Cristin Milioti
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Rashida Jones
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Amanda Seyfried
“Long Bright River” (Peacock)
Michelle Williams ***
“Dying for Sex” (FX)Supporting Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: HBO Zach Cherry
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Walton Goggins
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Jason Isaacs
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Jack Lowden
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
Sam Nivola
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Sam Rockwell
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Tramell Tillman ***
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
John Turturro
“Severance” (Apple TV+)Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Jon Pack/Netflix Ike Barinholtz
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Colman Domingo
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Paul W. Downs
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
Harrison Ford
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
Ebon Moss-Bachrach ***
“The Bear” (FX)
Tyler James Williams
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Bowen Yang
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Supporting Actor (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Hulu Javier Bardem
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Owen Cooper ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Rob Delaney
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Rhenzy Felix
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Diego Luna
“La Máquina” (Hulu)
Wagner Moura
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Ashley Walters
“Adolescence” (Netflix)Supporting Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Courtesy of HBO Patricia Arquette
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Leslie Bibb
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Carrie Coon ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Taylor Dearden
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Allison Janney
“The Diplomat” (Netflix)
Katherine LaNasa
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)
Isabela Merced
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Parker Posey
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Disney Liza Colón-Zayas
“The Bear” (FX)
Hannah Einbinder
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
Janelle James ***
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Linda Lavin
“Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu)
Catherine O’Hara
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Sheryl Lee Ralph
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Jessica Williams
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)Supporting Actress (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Netflix Erin Doherty ***
“Adolescence” (Netflix)
Lesley Manville
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Deirdre O’Connell
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Chloë Sevigny
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
Jenny Slate
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Sissy Spacek
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
Christine Tremarco
“Adolescence” (Netflix)Guest Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: CBS Beau Bridges
“Matlock” (CBS)
Andy Garcia
“Landman” (Paramount+)
Scott Glenn ***
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Joe Pantoliano
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Jeffrey Wright
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)Guest Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Kailey Schwerman/Paramount+ with SHOWTIME Gwendoline Christie
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Kaitlyn Dever ***
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Catherine O’Hara
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Hilary Swank
“Yellowjackets” (Paramount+)
Merrit Wever
“Severance” (Apple TV+)Guest Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: FX Jon Bernthal
“The Bear” (FX)
Bryan Cranston ***
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Ron Howard
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Richard Kind
“Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu)
Martin Scorsese
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)
Martin Short
“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)Guest Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Sarah Shatz/PEACOCK Jamie Lee Curtis
“The Bear” (FX)
Cynthia Erivo
“Poker Face” (Peacock)
Melissa McCarthy
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Julianne Nicholson ***
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
Kaitlin Olson
“Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Sarah Polley
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Talk Series
Image Credit: Courtesy of YouTube Scripted Variety
Image Credit: Max Directing (Drama)
Image Credit: Netflix “Andor” (Disney+)
Janus Metz, “Who Are You?”
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
Mark Mylod, “Through the Valley”
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)
John Wells, “7:00 A.M.”
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
Jessica Lee Gagné, “Chikhai Bardo”
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
Ben Stiller, “Cold Harbor”
“Squid Game” (Netflix)
Hwang Dong-hyuk, “O X”
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
Mike White, “Amor Fati”Directing (Comedy)
Image Credit: HBO Max “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Randhall Einhorn, “Please Touch Museum”
“The Bear” (FX)
Ayo Edebiri, “Napkins”
“The Bear” (FX)
Christopher Storer, “Tomorrow”
“The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
Shari Springer Berman and Robert Pulcini, “Lake House”
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
Lucia Aniello, “A Slippery Slope”
“Mid-Century Modern” (Hulu)
James Burrows, “Here’s to You, Mrs. Schneiderman”
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***
Seth Rogen & Evan Goldberg, “The Oner”Directing (Limited or Anthology/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Apple TV+ “Adolescence” (Netflix)
Philip Barantini, Series
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
Chris Barrett & Luke Taylor, “Eulogy”
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
Alfonso Cuarón, Series
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
Ridley Scott, “Jolly Ranchers”
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
Helen Shaver, “Cent’anni”
“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
Anne Sewitsky, “The Verdict”Writing (Drama)
Image Credit: Disney “Andor” (Disney+)
“Welcome to the Rebellion” by Dan Gilroy
“The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
“Through the Valley” by Craig Mazin
“Paradise” (Hulu)
“Wildcat is Down” by Dan Fogelman
“The Pitt” (HBO Max)
“7:00 A.M.” by R. Scott Gemmill
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“Cold Harbor” by Dan Erickson
“Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
“Hello Goodbye” by Will Smith
“The White Lotus” (HBO Max)
“Full-Moon Party” by Mike WhiteWriting (Comedy)
Image Credit: FX “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“Back to School” by Quinta Brunson
“The Bear” (FX)
“Ice Chips” by Joanna Calo
“The Bear” (FX)
“Napkins” by Catherine Schetina
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“A Slippery Slope” by Lucia Aniello, Paul W. Downs, Jen Statsky
“Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
“The Last Thanksgiving” by Bill Lawrence, Neil Goldman, Brett Goldstein
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***
“The Promotion” by Seth Rogen, Evan Goldberg, Peter Huyck, Alex Gregory, Frida Perez
“What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
“The Finale” by Sam Johnson, Sarah Naftalis, Paul SimmsWriting (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Michael Becker/Apple TV+ “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
Series by Stephen Graham and Jack Thorne
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“Eulogy” by Charlie Brooker, Ella Road
“Dying for Sex” (FX)
“Good Value Diet Soda” by Kim Rosenstock & Elizabeth Meriwether
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
“Hang Men” by David McMillan, Reilly Smith, Todd Kubrak, Ian Brennan
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)
“A Great or Little Thing” by Lauren LeFranc
“Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
“Bases Loaded” by David E. KelleyGame Show
Image Credit: NBC “Celebrity Family Feud” (ABC)
“Jeopardy” (ABC) ***
“Password” (NBC)
“The Price is Right” (CBS)
“Celebrity Wheel of Fortune” (ABC)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Host (Reality/Competition)
Image Credit: Euan Cherry/Peacock Zach Cherry, Casey Wilson
“The Great American Baking Show” (The Roku Channel)
Alan Cumming ***
“The Traitors” (Peacock)
Kristen Kish
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
Jeff Probst
“Survivor” (CBS)
RuPaul
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Reality Competition Program
Image Credit: Euan Cherry/Peacock “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
“Survivor” (CBS)
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
“The Traitors” (Peacock) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Structured Reality
Image Credit: COURTESY OF NETFLIX “Antiques Roadshow” (PBS)
“Diners, Drive-Ins and Dives” (Food Network)
“Love is Blind” (Netflix)
“Queer Eye” (Netflix)
“Shark Tank” (ABC) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Unstructured Reality
Image Credit: Netflix “Below Deck Down Under” (Bravo)
“Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix) ***
“RuPaul’s Drag Race Untucked” (MTV)
“Selling Sunset” (Netflix)
“Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Animated Program
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Arcane” (Netflix)
“Big Mouth” (Netflix) ***
“Bob’s Burgers” (Fox)
“Love, Death + Robots” (Netflix)
“The Simpsons” (Fox)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Short Form (Comedy/Drama/Variety)
Image Credit: SHAUN NIX/NETFLIX “Bad Thoughts” (Netflix) ***
“The Daily Show: Desi Lydic Fox-splains” (Comedy Central)
“Good Mythical Morning” (YouTube)
“Late Night with Seth Meyers: CORRECTIONS” (NBC)
“Only Murders in the Building: One Killer Question” (Hulu)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Casting (Drama)
Image Credit: HBO/Max “The Last of Us” (HBO Max)
“Matlock” (CBS)
“The Pitt” (HBO Max) ***
“Severance” (Apple TV+)
“Squid Game” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Casting (Comedy)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Disney/Patrick Harbron “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX)
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Casting (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Adolescence” (Netflix)
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“La Máquina” (Hulu)
“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix) ***
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Casting (Reality)
Image Credit: CBS “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“Love on the Spectrum” (Netflix) ***
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
“Top Chef” (Bravo)
“The Traitors” (Peacock)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Variety Special (Live)
Image Credit: Netflix “Beyoncé Bowl” (Netflix)
“The Oscars” (ABC) ***
“The 67th Grammy Awards” (CBS)
“SNL50: The Anniversary Special” (NBC)
“SNL50: The Homecoming Concert” (Peacock)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Adam Sandler: Love You” (Netflix)
“Ali Wong: Single Lady” (Netflix) ***
“Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life” (HBO Max)
“The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame: Induction 2024” (ABC)
“Sarah Silverman: Post Mortem” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Documentary (Series)
Image Credit: FX “100 Foot Wave” (HBO Max)
“Number One on the Call Sheet” (Apple TV+) ***
“Pee-Wee as Himself” (HBO Max)
“SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night” (Peacock)
“Social Studies” (FX)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Documentary (Special)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Netflix “Beatles ’64” (Disney+)
“¡Casa Bonita Mi Amor!” (Paramount+)
“Martha” (Netflix)
“Road Diary: Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band” (Hulu)
“Will & Harper” (Netflix) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Hosted Nonfiction
Image Credit: Banijay “Conan O’Brien Must Go” (HBO Max)
“Eva Longoria: Searching for Spain” (CNN)
“Finding Your Roots with Henry Louis Gates, Jr.” (PBS)
“My Next Guest Needs No Introduction with David Letterman” (Netflix)
“Tucci in Italy” (National Geographic) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Matt Kennedy/Netflix “Adolescence” (Netflix) ***
“American Primeval” (Netflix)
“Black Mirror” (Netflix)
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Multi-Camera Half-Hour)
Image Credit: CBS “The Conners” (ABC)
“Frasier” (Paramount+) ***
“Night Court” (NBC)
“Poppa’s House” (CBS)
“The Upshows” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Nonfiction)
Image Credit: NBCUniversal “The Americas” (NBC)
“Ladies & Gentlemen… 50 Years of SNL Music” (NBC)
“Number One on the Call Sheet” (Apple TV+)
“100 Foot Wave” (HBO Max)
“Social Studies” (FX) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Reality)
Image Credit: CBS “The Amazing Race” (CBS)
“Life Below Zero” (National Geographic) ***
“Survivor” (CBS)
“The Traitors” (Peacock)
“Welcome to Wrexham” (FX)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Series, Half-Hour)
Image Credit: FX “Adults” (FX)
“The Bear” (FX)
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“The Studio” (Apple TV+) ***Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Cinematography (Series, One Hour)
Image Credit: Giovanni Rufino “Andor” (Disney+)
“Daredevil: Born Again” (Disney+)
“House of the Dragon” (HBO Max)
“Severance” (Apple TV+) ***
“Squid Game” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Costumes (Contemporary)
Image Credit: HBO “The Four Seasons” (Netflix)
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“The Righteous Gemstones” (HBO Max) ***
“The Studio” (Apple TV+)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Costumes (Contemporary, Limited/TV Movie)
Image Credit: Prime Video “Adolescence” (Netflix)
“American Horror Stories” (FX) ***
“The Better Sister” (Prime Video)
“Dope Thief” (Apple TV+)
“The Penguin” (HBO Max)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Hairstyling (Contemporary)
Image Credit: Courtesy of STEFANIA ROSINI/NETFLIX “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
“The Bear” (FX) ***
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
Makeup (Contemporary, Non-Prosthetic)
Image Credit: ©Netflix/Courtesy Everett Collection “The Bear” (FX) ***
“Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
“Hacks” (HBO Max)
“Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
“Sirens” (Netflix)Emmy category page with rankings>>>Coming Soon
More Information
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About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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